Early Views

The so-called One Big Beautiful Bill Act signed into law by President Trump on July 4, 2025 will cut $1 trillion from federal health care programs over the coming decade and cause 10 million individuals to become uninsured according to the Congressional Budget Office. Most analyses of the bill’s impacts have assumed they would be the inverse of those documented from previous coverage expansions. An examination of past coverage cuts might yield additional insights into the probable impacts of this legislation on the medical care and health of the needy.  More

Medicaid is the largest payer of substance use disorder (SUD) treatment in the United States. Managed care plays an important role, administering benefits for more than 80% of Medicaid enrollees. While state governments have enacted coverage requirements for SUD treatment medications that managed care plans must follow, the extent to which managed care coverage policies align with these rules remains largely unknown.  More

Recent studies have linked the rising rates and growing disparities in working-age mortality partly to changes in US states’ policy contexts since the 1980s. Yet, such studies largely rely on measures of states’ policy contexts, or “policy indices,” that were created for other purposes, are not regularly updated, and use complex methods that can be difficult to interpret and replicate. Further elucidating the mortality trends and disparities would benefit from a policy index that is designed for population health analyses and a clearer understanding of the utility of such indices.  More

In response to the high cost of state-run Medicaid programs, the 1993 Medicaid estate recovery policy was established to enable states to recover assets from the estates of beneficiaries after death. Estate recovery may trigger behavioral responses from older adults who may no longer view real estate as an attractive asset, may borrow money from home equity to cover the cost of increasing care needs, or may avoid enrolling in Medicaid altogether.  More

Context: Before the COVID-19 pandemic, persons with pregnancy Medicaid coverage were typically disenrolled after 60 days postpartum, at which point they could retain Medicaid only if they qualified through another eligibility category (most commonly as a parent). The March 2020 Families First Coronavirus Response Act (FFCRA) extended postpartum Medicaid coverage by requiring states to pause disenrollment in exchange for enhanced federal funding.  More

Mental health among US working-age adults notably worsened during the COVID-19 pandemic, following a steady decades-long decline. The impact of states’ COVID-19 policies on mental health has received much attention; however, less is known about the impact of a broader set of long-standing and overarching state policy contexts.   More

Racial disparities—unequal outcomes between racial groups—persist in the United States, particularly with respect to health and economic outcomes. There has been increased focus on the ways in which upstream determinants of health contribute to these disparities; however, little is known about how forced inaction on these upstream determinants affects health and economic outcomes.   More

About 280,000 older adults experience the “Medicare Cliff” each year, becoming eligible for Medicare and losing Medicaid coverage when they turn age 65 years due to discontinuities in financial eligibility criteria.   More

Primary care is the foundation of most health systems; yet across diverse countries, structures, policies, and payment models, it is under threat.  More